ESTIMATE · OSINT, not official data. The index is computed by a script from open series; events do not affect the score.
World news, 4 November 2026
This issue covers 6 events. The world Fuel Tension Index at the time of issue is 79 out of 100 (critical), −1 over 24 hours, data coverage 100%. Main event: Fire reported on oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz; 25 people rescued, per briefing.
Index snapshot
79 out of 100 · critical
World FTI · 24h: −1 · data coverage: 100% · 2026-11-04T13:47:17Z
North America
93
critical
East Asia
86
critical
Middle East
84
critical
South Asia
84
critical
Europe
67
crisis
Africa
60
crisis
Russia / CIS
50
crisis
Latin America
37
tense
Events in this issue
reported, single sourceMiddle East ·
Fire reported on oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz; 25 people rescued, per briefing
On 31 October, according to the Straits Daily Brief, a fire broke out on an oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. Citing Al Jazeera, the briefing reports that 25 people were rescued in an Omani rescue operation. The vessel's name and flag and the cause of the fire are not stated; the briefing does not name a maritime authority that confirmed the incident.
Sri Lanka: queues at filling stations as CPC petrol deliveries are delayed
According to The Morning, long queues formed at filling stations in Colombo and other areas of Sri Lanka due to a shortfall of petrol at Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC) stations. The Fuel Dealers' Association said some stations had not received petrol from CPC since Thursday and were forced to close their pumps; according to a union official, the next petrol stock was scheduled to arrive on 8 November. The scale of the shortage is not specified in the report.
Effect on fuel. Some filling stations suspended petrol sales because CPC deliveries had not arrived; according to the report, the next stock was expected on 8 November.
Niger imposes curfew on petrol sales amid national fuel shortage
Niger imposed restrictions on petrol sales nationwide on 25 October due to fuel shortage, according to Africanews, to prevent depletion of supplies and manage queues at filling stations.
Effect on fuel. Sudden petrol shortage in Niger worsens import dependency in the Sahel region.
Sudan fuel prices soar, workers struggle to afford
Al Jazeera reported that petrol prices in Sudan rose up to 300% compared to the previous month, with the oil ministry acknowledging supply disruptions and citizens reporting long queues at filling stations and inability to afford fuel at market rates.
Effect on fuel. Sharp fuel price increase in Sudan heightens social tension and reduces fuel accessibility for the population.
Four sabotage blasts halt northern Iraqi crude exports to Ceyhan
According to an oil official, reported on 23 October, four blasts hit the main gathering centre for at least four northern Iraqi fields (Kirkuk, Janbour, Bay Hassan, Khabaz and others), completely halting crude exports to Turkey's Ceyhan port. Repairs are estimated to take up to one month. The perpetrator and independent confirmation are not identified in the available reporting.
Effect on fuel. Crude exports from northern Iraq to Ceyhan have been completely halted; according to the official, repairs may take up to one month.
Sri Lanka private distributors cut supplies amid price surge
Three private distributors (LIOC, Sinopec, RM Parks) reduced shipments of gasoline and diesel citing unprofitability at current prices; the government mandated minimum stock levels, and CPC's share of diesel supply rose to 82%, worsening local filling station shortages according to Daily Mirror.
Effect on fuel. Reduction of private supplier deliveries shifts the burden onto state-owned CPC and intensifies diesel shortage at local filling stations.